AoE2 Analysis | certainly maybe

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certainly maybe

1066

5W - 14L

#1546797

Gameplay Summary

Versatile opener, mixing Scout Rush (40%) and Militia Rush (30%). Plays a cavalry-heavy style in mid/late game. Struggles against Militia Rush (100% loss rate). Prefers a defensive, fully-walled playstyle.

Elo

1066

Top 50%

Rank

#19,207

1v1 RM

Games

5W / 14L

Steam

13 years

Unverified

No risk factors detected

Player Analysis

10 games

Early Game

Quick Facts

Favorite Openings

Scout Rush

40%

Militia Rush

30%

No Rush

20%

Archer Rush

10%

Overall Behavior

Militia rush (40%) Scout rush (40%) Archer rush (30%) Tower rush (10%) Steppe lancer rush (10%)

Walling Style: Turtle

Prefers heavy walls and defensive play. (70% of games)

Opening Success Rates

Scout Rush 4 games

75%

Militia Rush 3 games

Loses to

Steppe Lancer Rush 62.1%

Fire Lancer Rush 61.5%

Beats

No Rush 65.1%

Skirmisher Rush 59.6%

Cavalry Archer Rush 58.9%

Early-Game Strengths

No dominant matchups found

Early-Game Weaknesses

They struggle against these:

Militia Rush (3 games)

0% win rate

No Rush (4 games)

25% win rate

How to Beat This Player

Early Game

If they open Scout Rush (40%), often loses to:

BEST Fire Lancer Rush 61.5% WR

Militia Rush 52.8% WR

Mid & Late Game

If they go Cavalry (50%), often loses to:

No clear weakness

Militia Rush

3 games

100%

win rate

No Rush

4 games

75%

win rate

No dominant strengths detected

Quick tips: Heavy waller - bring siege

Mid & Late Game

50%

Cavalry

PRIMARY STYLE

Infantry (Sword) 75% 33% WR

Archers 25%

Light Cavalry 25%

Skirmishers 25%

Dominates vs

Infantry (Spear) +2

Struggles vs

No data

Tendencies & Patterns

Civ. Stats

Variable

Civ Playstyle Analysis

Koreans

2 0% No Rush

Top Opening: No Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Mongols

2 50% Scout Rush

Top Opening: Scout Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Khitans

2 50% No Rush

Top Opening: No Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Romans

1 0% Militia Rush

Top Opening: Militia Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Shu

1 0% Archer Rush

Top Opening: Archer Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Japanese

1 0% Militia Rush

Top Opening: Militia Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Franks

1 100% Scout Rush

Top Opening: Scout Rush

Insufficient data for detailed analysis.

Map Tendencies

Map	Games	Win Rate	Likely Opening	Loses To
Socotra	4	25%	Scout Rush 50%	-
Arabia	4	25%	Archer Rush 25%	Militia Rush (2)

Performance

Performance by Time of Day

Night

00:00 - 06:00

50%

2 games

Morning

06:00 - 12:00

4 games

Afternoon

12:00 - 18:00

25%

4 games

Evening

18:00 - 00:00

33.3%

9 games

Consistent performance across all time periods.

Based on 19 matches • Times in UTC

Win Rate by Game Length

Avg. Win

42 min

Avg. Loss

21 min

Games

Age Stats vs 1000-1200 Elo Winners (Avg)

Feudal Age

(+00:06)

10:27

/ 10:21 target

Fast Feudal - 20%

III

Castle Age

(+04:56)

25:12

/ 20:16 target

Imperial Age

(+02:47)

38:50

/ 36:03 target

Economy Profile

Dark Age Idle TC (Avg.)

00:38

Average

Reaches Imperial

30%

Early aggression

Win Rates vs Opponent Civ Type

Best Matchups

Franks Cavalry

1-1

Goths Infantry

0-2

Worst Matchups

Goths Infantry

0-2

Franks Cavalry

1-1

Infantry (17%)

Cavalry (33%)

Gunpowder (100%)

Most Faced Civs

Franks 25%

4 games 1W - 3L

Goths 0%

3 games 0W - 3L

Burgundians 0%

2 games 0W - 2L

Slavs 100%

2 games 2W - 0L

Bengalis 100%

1 games 1W - 0L

Celts 0%

1 games 0W - 1L

Top 6 of 13 tracked opponent picks

Rating History (Last 60 days)

-46 Elo 6 games

Current

1066

Peak

1112

Low

1049

Record (W:L)

1 - 5

Effective APM (Last 9 games)

Overall

47.4

actions per minute

Faster than average for 1066 Elo

0 Avg (39)

Dark Age

52.0

Feudal

35.8

Castle

25.1

Imperial

16.5

Peak: 92.8 eAPM

Recent Match History (10 games analyzed)

Result	Map	Civ	Opponent	Duration	Date / Actions
VICTORY 1066 (+17)	Enclosed #461476881	Tupi	sweaty_onion Slavs (1071)	00:01:43	Mar 08, 2026 4 weeks ago
DEFEAT 1049 (-17)	MegaRandom #461465995	Tupi	j.carrazanagomez Khmer (1050)	00:24:23	Mar 08, 2026 4 weeks ago
DEFEAT 1066 (-16)	Arabia #461450132	Tupi	hardzin Burgundians (1079)	00:34:25	Mar 07, 2026 4 weeks ago
DEFEAT 1082 (-16)	Haboob #461449631	Tupi	Soldado1rken Incas (1089)	00:03:41	Mar 07, 2026 4 weeks ago
DEFEAT 1098 (-14)	Enclosed #461443705	Tupi	Dashermin Burgundians (1152)	00:33:14	Mar 07, 2026 4 weeks ago
DEFEAT 1112 (-15)	Arabia #461441452	Tupi	Rodeo Jones Goths (1147)	00:13:56	Mar 07, 2026 4 weeks ago
VICTORY 1127 (+15)	Shrubland #453304258	Franks Scout Rush	Horst der Graue Portuguese (1084)	00:43:23	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
VICTORY 1112 (+18)	Arabia #453281714	Khitans Scout Rush	Me pica la próstata Slavs (1133)	00:47:36	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1094 (-15)	Arabia #453279797	Khitans No Rush	AlexKngSteel Franks (1122)	00:09:49	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1109 (-16)	Socotra #453274974	Mongols Scout Rush	vitorio.zic Lithuanians (1121)	00:29:40	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
VICTORY 1125 (+15)	Socotra #453248120	Mongols Scout Rush	Stevedude Franks (1079)	00:35:33	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1110 (-18)	Arabia #453201820	Japanese Militia Rush	Monta Goths (1089)	00:47:08	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1128 (-14)	Socotra #453200300	Koreans Militia Rush	lukerogers86 Bulgarians (1191)	00:12:29	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1142 (-15)	Lowland #453183743	Shu	xcfotrp131 Franks (1185)	00:02:58	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1157 (-15)	Arabia #453182496	Shu Archer Rush	marquesisimo Celts (1187)	00:15:47	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1172 (-14)	Socotra #453182071	Koreans No Rush	Der Kühlste Goths (1236)	00:03:39	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1186 (-15)	Lowland #453180179	Romans Militia Rush	Der Kühlste Sicilians (1221)	00:28:14	Feb 02, 2026 2 months ago
DEFEAT 1201 (-17)	Arabia #439755282	Shu	SavageScout9317 Franks (1190)	00:20:51	Dec 13, 2025 3 months ago
VICTORY 1157 (+16)	Lowland #436856974	Romans	lumpy_space_princess Bengalis (1133)	00:25:59	Nov 30, 2025 4 months ago

VICTORY

certainly maybe (1112)

Civilization

Franks

Opening

Scout Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:10:37

CAS

0:22:30

IMP

0:37:38

Militia Rush Scout Rush Knight Rush

Main Composition

Skirmishers Heavy Cavalry Unique Unit

Tips & Suggestions

You made cavalry without Bloodlines. This is essential - cavalry die too fast without the +20 HP.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

DEFEAT

Horst der Graue (1084)

Civilization

Portuguese

Opening

Archer Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:09:36

CAS

0:22:11

IMP

Archer Rush Castle Drop Early Castle

Main Composition

Infantry (Spear)

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

Close Match

Win/Lose Prediction

54% Win 46% Loss

Actual Result

Victory with a slight odds advantage.

Map: Shrubland

Duration: 00:43:23

Date: Feb 02, 2026

VICTORY

certainly maybe (1094)

Civilization

Khitans

Opening

Scout Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:10:12

CAS

0:20:47

IMP

0:36:10

Scout Rush Steppe Lancer Rush

Main Composition

Infantry (Sword) Light Cavalry

Tips & Suggestions

You made cavalry without Bloodlines. This is essential - cavalry die too fast without the +20 HP.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

Slavs has strong infantry. Archers are very effective against infantry-focused civs.

DEFEAT

Me pica la próstata (1133)

Civilization

Slavs

Opening

Knight Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:09:10

CAS

0:20:23

IMP

0:38:41

Knight Rush

Main Composition

Infantry (Spear)

Tips & Suggestions

You reached Imperial but never used your unique unit (Boyar). Boyars have massive armor. They beat knights in melee.

Defied the Odds!

Win/Lose Prediction

44% Win 56% Loss

Actual Result

Major upset against a clear favorite.

Map: Arabia

Duration: 00:47:36

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1109)

Civilization

Khitans

Opening

No Rush

Walls

Standard

Age Timings

FEU

CAS

IMP

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Double-Bit Axe. This is one of the most important early eco upgrades - get it in early Feudal Age.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

VICTORY

AlexKngSteel (1122)

Civilization

Franks

Opening

No Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

CAS

IMP

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Double-Bit Axe. This is one of the most important early eco upgrades - get it in early Feudal Age.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

Close Match

Win/Lose Prediction

48% Win 52% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat against a slightly favored opponent.

Map: Arabia

Duration: 00:09:49

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1125)

Civilization

Mongols

Opening

Scout Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:11:15

CAS

0:25:31

IMP

Scout Rush Archer Rush

Tips & Suggestions

You reached Castle Age without Wheelbarrow. Get it before clicking up or around 22-25 villagers.

Your Archers don't have Fletching. Get this as soon as you start massing archers.

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

VICTORY

vitorio.zic (1121)

Civilization

Lithuanians

Opening

Scout Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:10:21

CAS

0:24:07

IMP

Scout Rush Skirmisher Rush

Main Composition

Infantry (Spear) Heavy Cavalry

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

Close Match

Win/Lose Prediction

51% Win 49% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat despite a slight odds advantage.

Map: Socotra

Duration: 00:29:40

Date: Feb 02, 2026

VICTORY

certainly maybe (1110)

Civilization

Mongols

Opening

Scout Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:10:11

CAS

0:29:45

IMP

Scout Rush Tower Rush

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

DEFEAT

Stevedude (1079)

Civilization

Franks

Opening

No Rush

Walls

Open / Aggressive

Age Timings

FEU

0:13:43

CAS

0:21:12

IMP

Main Composition

Heavy Cavalry

Tips & Suggestions

You made cavalry without Bloodlines. This is essential - cavalry die too fast without the +20 HP.

You reached Castle Age without Wheelbarrow. Get it before clicking up or around 22-25 villagers.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

You made melee units without Forging (+1 attack). Blacksmith upgrades matter.

Close Match

Win/Lose Prediction

54% Win 46% Loss

Actual Result

Victory with a slight odds advantage.

Map: Socotra

Duration: 00:35:33

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1128)

Civilization

Japanese

Opening

Militia Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:09:55

CAS

0:25:00

IMP

0:42:42

Militia Rush Archer Rush

Main Composition

Infantry (Sword) Archers

Tips & Suggestions

You reached Imperial but never used your unique unit (Samurai). Samurai can be very effective.

VICTORY

Monta (1089)

Civilization

Goths

Opening

Militia Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:10:30

CAS

0:22:26

IMP

0:40:55

Militia Rush

Main Composition

Infantry (Sword) Skirmishers

Tips & Suggestions

You reached Imperial Age without Hand Cart. This significantly slows your economy.

You reached Imperial but never used your unique unit (Huskarl). Huskarls delete archers and raid buildings. Can make from Barracks with Anarchy.

Japanese has strong infantry. Archers are very effective against infantry-focused civs.

Upset Defeat

Win/Lose Prediction

56% Win 44% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat despite being the clear favorite.

Map: Arabia

Duration: 00:47:08

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1142)

Civilization

Koreans

Opening

Militia Rush

Walls

Standard

Age Timings

FEU

0:11:34

CAS

IMP

Militia Rush

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Double-Bit Axe. This is one of the most important early eco upgrades - get it in early Feudal Age.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

VICTORY

lukerogers86 (1191)

Civilization

Bulgarians

Opening

Militia Rush

Walls

Open / Aggressive

Age Timings

FEU

0:11:49

CAS

IMP

Militia Rush

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Double-Bit Axe. This is one of the most important early eco upgrades - get it in early Feudal Age.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

Likely Outcome

Win/Lose Prediction

43% Win 57% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat against a clear favorite.

Map: Socotra

Duration: 00:12:29

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1172)

Civilization

Shu

Opening

Archer Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:10:12

CAS

IMP

Archer Rush

VICTORY

marquesisimo (1187)

Civilization

Celts

Opening

Militia Rush

Walls

Open / Aggressive

Age Timings

FEU

0:09:22

CAS

IMP

Militia Rush

Close Match

Win/Lose Prediction

48% Win 52% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat against a slightly favored opponent.

Map: Arabia

Duration: 00:15:47

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1186)

Civilization

Koreans

Opening

No Rush

Walls

Open / Aggressive

Age Timings

FEU

CAS

IMP

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Double-Bit Axe. This is one of the most important early eco upgrades - get it in early Feudal Age.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

Goths has strong infantry. Archers are very effective against infantry-focused civs.

VICTORY

Der Kühlste (1236)

Civilization

Goths

Opening

No Rush

Walls

Open / Aggressive

Age Timings

FEU

CAS

IMP

Tips & Suggestions

You didn't research Double-Bit Axe. This is one of the most important early eco upgrades - get it in early Feudal Age.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

Likely Outcome

Win/Lose Prediction

43% Win 57% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat against a clear favorite.

Map: Socotra

Duration: 00:03:39

Date: Feb 02, 2026

DEFEAT

certainly maybe (1201)

Civilization

Romans

Opening

Militia Rush

Walls

Heavy Wall / Turtle

Age Timings

FEU

0:09:41

CAS

0:27:37

IMP

Militia Rush

Main Composition

Infantry (Sword)

Tips & Suggestions

You reached Castle Age without Wheelbarrow. Get it before clicking up or around 22-25 villagers.

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

VICTORY

Der Kühlste (1221)

Civilization

Sicilians

Opening

No Rush

Walls

Standard

Age Timings

FEU

0:09:12

CAS

0:26:23

IMP

Tower Rush

Main Composition

Unique Unit

Tips & Suggestions

You made cavalry without Bloodlines. This is essential - cavalry die too fast without the +20 HP.

You reached Castle Age without Wheelbarrow. Get it before clicking up or around 22-25 villagers.

You didn't research Horse Collar. Your farms produce less food without it.

You didn't research Bow Saw in Castle Age. Wood income is critical for military production.

Romans has strong infantry. Archers are very effective against infantry-focused civs.

Close Match

Win/Lose Prediction

47% Win 53% Loss

Actual Result

Defeat against a slightly favored opponent.

Map: Lowland

Duration: 00:28:14

Date: Feb 02, 2026